Bitcoin traders are rebuilding bullish bets for a move toward $80,000 as the price reclaimed the $70,000 level, though futures market data suggests a potential for a short-term dip before further upside.

"Bernstein holds its $150,000 bitcoin price prediction for year end with $200,000 at the cycle peak," a recent GlobeNewswire report highlighted, reflecting the optimistic long-term sentiment from institutional analysts.

The bullish outlook is supported by spot Bitcoin ETFs pulling in $471 million on April 6 and softer-than-expected core inflation data at 0.2 percent. However, the push towards new highs faces immediate resistance at $76,100, a key level from before the recent geopolitical-driven sell-off.

The divergence between long-term bullish indicators and short-term bearish signals from the futures market could lead to significant volatility. A dip could trigger a cascade of liquidations, while a sustained break above the $73,000 mark could accelerate the rally toward the macro target of $85,000.

The renewed optimism among traders comes after a period of defensive positioning. Easing geopolitical tensions and a rebound in institutional demand have been primary drivers. The launch of Morgan Stanley's spot BTC ETF on April 8 further signals growing institutional acceptance.

Macroeconomic factors are aligning favorably. The softer inflation print for March gets the Federal Reserve closer to cutting interest rates, a move that has been a missing component in many bullish forecasts. This is complemented by a weaker U.S. dollar and Treasury yields holding at 4.29 percent, creating a supportive environment for risk assets like Bitcoin.

Despite the positive momentum, the futures market hints at caution. The conflict between spot demand and derivatives positioning suggests that while long-term holders are accumulating, short-term traders may be positioned for a price correction. A failure to break key resistance could validate the bearish signals and lead to a retest of lower support levels.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.